PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
NEC
4 - 0
PSV
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 5
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
XER
1 - 2
PSV
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
GRO
2 - 1
PSV
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 2
TWE
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
RMA
2 - 1
AJA
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
MVV
0 - 4
AJA
18%
23%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
4 - 0
SIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
7 - 1
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |