PSNI vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
PSN
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSN
2 - 2
LIS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
PSN
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 0
PSN
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 2
PSN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LCE
4 - 3
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
ARC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |