PSM vs Persita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
PSM
2 - 0
PST
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PRS
1 - 1
PSM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
DEW
1 - 1
PSM
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PSM
3 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
PSM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Persita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 3
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PSS
1 - 2
PER
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PSI
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
PUS
2 - 2
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MAD
43%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |