Tercera A Chile Normal Season Round 6

Provincial Ranco vs Chimbarongo analysis

Provincial Ranco Chimbarongo
40 ELO 45
-5.4% Tilt -2.2%
46493º General ELO ranking 31157º
122º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Provincial Ranco
25.2%
Draw
42.3%
Chimbarongo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Provincial Ranco
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.3%
Win probability
Chimbarongo
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Provincial Ranco
Their league position
Chimbarongo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
11
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Santiago City
28
28
100%
Unión Compañías
28
28
100%
Colchagua
27
27
100%
Colina
21
22
0%
Provincial Ovalle
22
22
0%
Municipal Puente Alto
22
22
0%
Concón National
21
21
100%
Deportes Quillón
19
19
0%
Provincial Ranco
19
19
0%
Comunal Cabrero
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Quintero Unido
11º
13
13
11º
100%
Chimbarongo
12º
11
11
12º
100%
Municipal Salamanca
13º
10
10
13º
100%
Rancagua Sur
14º
7
7
14º
0%
Municipal Mejillones
15º
6
7
15º
0%
Expected probabilities
Provincial Ranco
Chimbarongo
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Provincial Ranco
Chimbarongo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Provincial Ranco
Provincial Ranco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
CHG
Colchagua
2 - 1
Provincial Ranco
PRO
66%
20%
15%
39 49 10 0
06 May. 2023
PRO
Provincial Ranco
3 - 0
Rancagua Sur
RAS
31%
26%
44%
36 46 10 +3
29 Apr. 2023
CDC
Comunal Cabrero
1 - 0
Provincial Ranco
PRO
13%
17%
69%
37 22 15 -1
15 Apr. 2023
MPA
Municipal Puente Alto
1 - 0
Provincial Ranco
PRO
5%
11%
85%
39 7 32 -2
18 Mar. 2023
PRO
Provincial Ranco
0 - 1
Comunal Cabrero
CDC
75%
16%
10%
39 14 25 0

Matches

Chimbarongo
Chimbarongo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
RAS
Rancagua Sur
1 - 0
Chimbarongo
CHI
37%
25%
38%
47 43 4 0
29 Apr. 2023
CDQ
Deportes Quillón
3 - 3
Chimbarongo
CHI
74%
17%
9%
46 63 17 +1
23 Apr. 2023
CHI
Chimbarongo
1 - 2
Colchagua
CHG
48%
24%
29%
47 48 1 -1
15 Apr. 2023
CDC
Comunal Cabrero
1 - 0
Chimbarongo
CHI
6%
13%
81%
48 18 30 -1
09 Apr. 2023
CHI
Chimbarongo
0 - 10
Univ de Chile
UCH
10%
17%
73%
49 68 19 -1