Provincial Ovalle vs Quintero Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
12º
5º
13
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OVA
5 - 2
MEJ
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
OVA
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
ACC
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DUC
1 - 3
OVA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BDS
2 - 2
OVA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Quintero Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
QUI
39%
22%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
BDS
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 0
MEJ
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 0
QUI
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 2
ACC
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |