Provincial Ovalle vs Quintero Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
MEJ
0 - 3
OVA
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
OVA
3 - 0
BDS
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
OVA
3 - 2
DCO
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
OVA
1 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Quintero Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 4
DUC
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 1
MSA
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 4
LIM
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BDS
0 - 1
QUI
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
VAL
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |