Provincial Ovalle vs Unión Compañías analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
12º
5º
28
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
BDS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
OVA
1 - 2
DCO
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BDS
1 - 2
OVA
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OVA
5 - 0
BDS
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OVA
0 - 2
ACC
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Compañías
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUC
1 - 0
CDS
93%
6%
2%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUC
1 - 3
DLS
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUC
0 - 2
CDP
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DUC
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DUC
1 - 0
ACC
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |