The Saarland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1953 |
NOR
2 - 3
PDS
48%
20%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
83%
10%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
1 - 4
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRD
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |