Progresso Sambizanga vs Recreativo da Caála analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 2
PRO
28%
30%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
2 - 1
PRO
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 0
BLU
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PRO
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo da Caála
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CRD
0 - 1
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BLU
2 - 0
CRD
25%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CRD
5 - 0
INT
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
CRD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRD
4 - 1
USU
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |