Progresso Sambizanga vs 4 de Abril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CDH
1 - 2
PRO
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 1
PRI
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
PRO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
PRO
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CUA
0 - 0
PRI
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CUA
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CUA
0 - 1
40%
30%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CUA
1 - 1
ASA
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
CUA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |