Progresso vs Wagiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 2
HAN
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
PRO
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
WAG
2 - 1
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPP
2 - 0
WAG
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CRF
4 - 3
WAG
20%
19%
62%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 0
WAG
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
WAG
0 - 1
GCF
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |