Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 5
PRO
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
ALT
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
PRO
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
BDC
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
HAN
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
PLA
36%
22%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
5 - 2
WAG
78%
13%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 2
PLA
43%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 2
ALT
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |