Belize Playoffs - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
BDC
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PRO
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
POL
48%
21%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
8 - 4
WAG
79%
12%
8%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 3
BDC
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PLA
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |