Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
WAG
4 - 3
PRO
19%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
POL
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 3
PLA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SPP
4 - 0
PLA
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SPP
40%
22%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |