Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
WAG
4 - 3
PRO
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 0
BEL
74%
15%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PRO
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
POL
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 3
PLA
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SPP
4 - 0
PLA
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SPP
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |