Progresso vs Belmopan Bandits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BDC
1 - 2
PRO
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
POL
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
PRO
58%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 5
PRO
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belmopan Bandits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 6
HAN
16%
21%
64%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
PLA
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
3 - 2
BEL
31%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 4
ALT
23%
21%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |