Progresso vs Altitude FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
7º
4º
22
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPP
2 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
SPP
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altitude FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
BDC
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
ALT
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |