Progresso vs Altitude FC analysis


26	ELO	28
-7.7%	Tilt	-9.3%
49190º	General ELO ranking	43673º
37º	Country ELO ranking	32º
ELO win probability

47.5%

Progresso

22.1%

Draw

30.3%

Altitude FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%

22.1%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

6.8%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

22.1%

30.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-42%

+26%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

3º

7º

4º

22

4º

6º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	27	30	1º	53%
3º	26	29	2º	27.5%
1º	28	28	3º	27.5%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	22	22	5º	100%
6º	21	21	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progresso

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Jan. 2023	SPP 2 - 0 PRO 53% 22% 25%	27	29	2	0
20 Nov. 2022	ALT 1 - 0 PRO 44% 23% 32%	28	30	2	-1
13 Nov. 2022	PRO 1 - 2 ALT 41% 23% 36%	29	29	0	-1
31 Oct. 2022	PRO 2 - 2 SPP 52% 22% 26%	29	29	0	0
23 Oct. 2022	PRO 0 - 0 ALT 51% 22% 28%	29	29	0	0

Matches

Altitude FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Jan. 2023	ALT 0 - 1 BDC 45% 23% 33%	29	29	0	0
12 Dec. 2022	ALT 1 - 1 HAN 37% 23% 40%	31	31	0	-2
27 Nov. 2022	HAN 1 - 1 ALT 41% 23% 36%	31	31	0	0
20 Nov. 2022	ALT 1 - 0 PRO 44% 23% 32%	30	28	2	+1
13 Nov. 2022	PRO 1 - 2 ALT 41% 23% 36%	29	29	0	+1