Progresso vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
54.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 13
SAO
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 0
PRO
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
6 - 0
PRO
22%
19%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MRF
5 - 1
PRO
12%
15%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
REA
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
GAS
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
MRF
68%
17%
16%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAO
18%
22%
61%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |