Progresso vs Cristal CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
REM
4 - 0
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
HOL
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 5
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cristal CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
4 - 2
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 0
HOL
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
REM
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
TDC
0 - 1
CRI
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
TDC
0 - 1
CRI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |