AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
37
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
GRO
15%
18%
66%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
11 - 2
PRA
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
RFA
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 4
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 3
SKA
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
RIG
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 2
VAL
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
3 - 1
RIG
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 2
RIG
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |