Progress / AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RFA
2 - 0
PRA
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
FKB
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 0
PRA
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRA
7 - 2
TUK
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
KFV
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 0
TUK
4%
9%
87%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | +6 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
KFV
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KFV
2 - 3
SAL
5%
12%
84%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
KFV
95%
4%
1%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | 0 |