AFA Olaine vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
33
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 0
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 2
PRA
3%
9%
88%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
4 - 0
PRA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 2
SAL
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TUK
1 - 2
SKA
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 3
TUK
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 3
RIG
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TUK
1 - 0
VAL
22%
22%
56%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |