AFA Olaine vs FK Beitar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.8%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
35
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 0
PRA
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRA
7 - 2
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 2
SAL
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 0
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 2
PRA
4%
9%
87%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
FK Beitar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 0
FKB
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 55 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ALB
6 - 0
FKB
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
FKB
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
FKB
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 3
GRO
4%
10%
86%
|
14 | 58 | 44 | 0 |