Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
PRO
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CER
5 - 2
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 3
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 4
JUN
61%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 2
DAN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |