Progreso vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
60%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
DAN
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CER
2 - 0
SRP
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CER
2 - 3
BOS
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 0
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |