Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 0
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
CSC
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CSM
1 - 0
PRO
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 1
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
ATE
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 3
ATE
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
4 - 0
CEL
56%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |