Progresista vs Covelo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
GDM
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 0
CFG
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
PRO
39%
25%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 1
PRO
20%
21%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Covelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COV
2 - 1
ARB
44%
20%
36%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 0
COV
75%
15%
10%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
COV
2 - 2
CAÑ
40%
22%
38%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
COV
1 - 4
XIN
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NEV
4 - 0
COV
62%
20%
19%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |