Progresista vs CCD Chain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
PRO
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 2
GOI
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
GON
2 - 3
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
3 - 1
MOS
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
3 - 0
ARE
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
ARE
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 0
CHA
30%
21%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
MIL
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 3
TYD
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |