Pro Vasto vs Itala San Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACG
0 - 1
PRO
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 3
ACS
39%
28%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
USP
2 - 2
PRO
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 3
PRO
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAN
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Itala San Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 1
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BV5
1 - 1
ITA
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOC
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |