Pro Patria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
8 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
INT
4 - 0
PRO
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 1
GEN
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
GEN
3 - 3
ROM
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |