Principat vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PRI
4 - 1
FCR
57%
19%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UES
1 - 1
PRI
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 3
UEE
55%
20%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 3
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
INT
1 - 0
PRI
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 1
SJU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCR
0 - 5
SJU
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
INT
0 - 3
SJU
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SJU
0 - 1
UES
74%
15%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SJU
9 - 0
UEE
85%
11%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |