Principat vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
5 - 0
PRI
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
3 - 1
PRI
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUS
1 - 2
PRI
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 2
SJU
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FCR
0 - 7
PRI
49%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
3 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 0
LUS
72%
17%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUS
1 - 2
PRI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 2
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUS
5 - 1
UES
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |