Principat II vs Lusitanos II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ENC
2 - 3
PRI
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 4
FCO
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCR
5 - 4
PRI
43%
21%
35%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PRI
4 - 2
FCS
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +5 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAM
1 - 1
PRI
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
4 - 2
FCR
80%
12%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 2
LUS
30%
22%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LAM
0 - 2
LUS
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 2
CAS
78%
13%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 6
LUS
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |