Primavera SP vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
PRI
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
PRI
65%
22%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
VEL
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
PRI
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAP
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |