Preußen Münster vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
13º
17º
15º
61
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KSC
1 - 1
PRE
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 0
F95
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 1
PRE
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
ELV
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
GRO
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SGF
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
KOL
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 0
HOL
52%
22%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
PAD
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |