Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
MIL
2 - 2
PNE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
PNE
1 - 0
WAL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
PNE
1 - 2
BPO
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
WIG
2 - 2
PNE
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
MAC
3 - 2
PNE
28%
26%
45%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 0
WYC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 2
LUT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 1
WRE
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
NOT
3 - 0
CHE
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |