Preston North End vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
DAR
0 - 2
PNE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
PNE
2 - 0
WAL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
GIL
2 - 2
PNE
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
SCU
3 - 1
PNE
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
PNE
1 - 1
NOR
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
CUM
3 - 0
WIG
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
LIN
0 - 0
CUM
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
CUM
1 - 2
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
CRE
2 - 3
CUM
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
CUM
2 - 0
DAR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |