Championship Round 22

Preston North End vs Bury analysis

Preston North End Bury
65 ELO 76
26.3% Tilt 5.3%
974º General ELO ranking 3442º
35º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Preston North End
21.6%
Draw
30.2%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.2%
Win probability
Bury
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preston North End
-7%
-4%
Bury

ELO progression

Preston North End
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1929
BCF
Bury
1 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
79%
13%
8%
64 76 12 0
21 Dec. 1929
CHL
Chelsea
5 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
60%
21%
19%
65 70 5 -1
14 Dec. 1929
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
72%
16%
12%
65 64 1 0
07 Dec. 1929
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
69%
18%
14%
64 72 8 +1
30 Nov. 1929
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 1
Millwall
MIL
80%
12%
8%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1929
BCF
Bury
1 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
79%
13%
8%
76 64 12 0
21 Dec. 1929
BCF
Bury
4 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
64%
19%
17%
76 76 0 0
14 Dec. 1929
SWA
Swansea City
2 - 4
Bury
BCF
32%
24%
44%
76 61 15 0
07 Dec. 1929
BCF
Bury
2 - 4
Bradford City
BRA
84%
11%
5%
76 58 18 0
30 Nov. 1929
WOL
Wolves
2 - 0
Bury
BCF
43%
23%
34%
77 65 12 -1