Preston Lions vs Melbourne Victory U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
3 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
5 - 0
POR
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
OAK
4 - 0
PLI
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PLI
1 - 1
AVH
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 1
PLI
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
STA
3 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
OAK
2 - 5
MEL
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +4 |