Preston Lions vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1993 |
NCB
4 - 1
PLI
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1993 |
PLI
0 - 2
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
PLI
0 - 1
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
SYD
3 - 1
PLI
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
PLI
1 - 1
ADE
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
GIF
0 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1993 |
SYD
3 - 0
GIF
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
GIF
2 - 1
WAD
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 1
GIF
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
SYD
1 - 2
GIF
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |