Preston Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers analysis


49	ELO	30
-3.1%	Tilt	7.8%
24799º	General ELO ranking	9556º
100º	Country ELO ranking	73º
ELO win probability

69.3%

Preston Athletic

18.2%

Draw

12.5%

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

69.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%

18.2%

Draw

0-0

4.6%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

4%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

18.2%

12.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston Athletic

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Sep. 2008	DAL 3 - 2 PRE 41% 24% 35%	49	45	4	0
30 Aug. 2008	PRE 0 - 3 WHI 39% 26% 35%	49	52	3	0
23 Aug. 2008	LOT 1 - 3 PRE 43% 24% 33%	48	44	4	+1
16 Aug. 2008	PRE 4 - 1 HER 61% 21% 18%	48	38	10	0
22 May. 2008	SEL 2 - 5 PRE 23% 24% 53%	47	32	15	+1