Prainha vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prainha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RAB
1 - 1
PRA
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 3
ANG
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 3
PRA
30%
25%
44%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
PRA
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 0
SAN
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
4 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
IDE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 4
IDE
83%
13%
5%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
IDE
6 - 1
FLA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |