III Divisao Grupo Açores. Jor. 3

Praiense vs Ideal analysis

Praiense Ideal
42 ELO 25
-4.3% Tilt -4.8%
19696º General ELO ranking 19698º
307º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Praiense
15.7%
Draw
9.7%
Ideal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
Praiense
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.7%
Win probability
Ideal
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Praiense
-52%
-38%
Ideal

ELO progression

Praiense
Ideal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Praiense
Praiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2012
SAN
Santiago
0 - 1
Praiense
PRA
36%
26%
38%
41 35 6 0
23 Sep. 2012
PRA
Praiense
2 - 1
Rabo Peixe
RAB
73%
17%
11%
41 27 14 0
16 Sep. 2012
PRA
Praiense
0 - 1
Gondomar
GON
23%
24%
54%
41 55 14 0
26 Feb. 2012
PRA
Prainha
1 - 2
Praiense
PRA
24%
23%
52%
41 26 15 0
19 Feb. 2012
PRA
Praiense
1 - 1
Boavista São
BOA
78%
15%
8%
41 24 17 0

Matches

Ideal
Ideal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2012
RAB
Rabo Peixe
1 - 1
Ideal
IDE
53%
22%
25%
24 26 2 0
23 Sep. 2012
IDE
Ideal
0 - 2
Angrense
ANG
39%
24%
37%
26 31 5 -2
26 Feb. 2012
LUS
Lusitânia
1 - 0
Ideal
IDE
63%
20%
17%
26 35 9 0
19 Feb. 2012
IDE
Ideal
1 - 3
Santiago
SAN
37%
24%
39%
27 33 6 -1
12 Feb. 2012
IDE
Ideal
2 - 0
Fayal
FAY
77%
15%
8%
27 15 12 0
X