Pouso Alegre vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
URT
0 - 1
POA
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
INT
3 - 0
POA
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
UBE
41%
24%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CRZ
5 - 1
POA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
BAH
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
INT
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |