FA Cup . 1/512
Global 2-1
Potters Bar Town vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potters Bar Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
POT
2 - 3
KEM
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
POT
33%
24%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
POT
3 - 2
CAN
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 2
POT
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POT
2 - 1
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HEM
3 - 3
BAT
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 2
BAT
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
OXF
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BAT
4 - 0
GOS
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 1
BAT
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |