Potiguar Mossoró vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
POT
3 - 0
CEN
35%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
CAM
6 - 2
POT
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
POT
3 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
POT
1 - 2
CAM
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 0
MEC
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 0
COR
17%
24%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 2
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
ARN
0 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |