Posušje vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
9º
65
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
POS
1 - 2
ZRI
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
POS
1 - 2
GOS
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
POS
2 - 0
SLO
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
IGM
0 - 3
POS
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 3
POS
11%
17%
71%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
SAR
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
ZRI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
SAR
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |