Kenya Premier League Round 7

Posta Rangers vs Mathare United analysis

Posta Rangers Mathare United
58 ELO 43
-17.1% Tilt 6.8%
3131º General ELO ranking 4247º
14º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
63.6%
Posta Rangers
22.5%
Draw
14%
Mathare United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
Posta Rangers
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14%
Win probability
Mathare United
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Posta Rangers
-13%
+24%
Mathare United

Points and table prediction

Posta Rangers
Their league position
Mathare United
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
11º
10º
23
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gor Mahia
67
70
80%
Tusker FC
66
69
62%
Kenya Police FC
63
66
36.5%
Nzoia Sugar
63
66
34.5%
Bandari
60
64
39%
KCB
63
64
43%
AFC Leopards
51
51
100%
Kakamega Homeboyz
49
49
100%
Ulinzi Stars
46
47
98%
Posta Rangers
12º
40
43
10º
27.5%
Sofapaka
11º
41
42
11º
27%
Kariobangi Sharks
10º
41
41
12º
48%
FC Talanta
14º
36
37
13º
50%
Bidco United FC
13º
36
36
14º
55.5%
Nairobi City Stars
15º
34
35
15º
52%
Muhoroni Youth
16º
29
33
16º
78%
Mathare United
17º
23
24
17º
97.5%
Vihiga Bullets
18º
12
13
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Posta Rangers
Mathare United
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 2.5%
Relegation
0% 97.5%

ELO progression

Posta Rangers
Mathare United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Posta Rangers
Posta Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
POS
Posta Rangers
0 - 2
Gor Mahia
GOR
22%
27%
51%
58 67 9 0
04 Jan. 2023
BAN
Bandari
1 - 3
Posta Rangers
POS
58%
24%
19%
57 65 8 +1
21 Dec. 2022
POS
Posta Rangers
2 - 1
Vihiga Bullets
VIU
56%
25%
19%
57 49 8 0
17 Dec. 2022
AFC
AFC Leopards
0 - 1
Posta Rangers
POS
58%
24%
18%
56 65 9 +1
11 Dec. 2022
POS
Posta Rangers
0 - 0
Nairobi City Stars
NAI
38%
29%
33%
55 58 3 +1

Matches

Mathare United
Mathare United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
MAT
Mathare United
0 - 4
Sofapaka
SOF
20%
26%
54%
43 62 19 0
04 Jan. 2023
ULI
Ulinzi Stars
3 - 1
Mathare United
MAT
63%
23%
13%
44 61 17 -1
22 Dec. 2022
MAT
Mathare United
1 - 2
Nzoia Sugar
NZO
18%
24%
58%
44 60 16 0
05 Jun. 2022
KCB
KCB
2 - 0
Mathare United
MAT
71%
18%
10%
44 62 18 0
28 May. 2022
MAT
Mathare United
0 - 2
Tusker FC
TUS
10%
21%
69%
44 69 25 0