Post vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ADM
3 - 1
POS
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POS
4 - 1
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POS
2 - 1
SIM
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DON
1 - 5
POS
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
POS
0 - 2
WIE
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 3
SIM
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DON
4 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 7
FIR
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 6
WIE
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DON
4 - 0
NAC
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |