Post vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SCW
0 - 1
POS
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
POS
0 - 1
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GER
1 - 2
POS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POS
1 - 0
FAV
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
POS
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
9 - 1
FOR
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 8
SCW
17%
21%
63%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FAV
3 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |