Post vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FAV
3 - 1
POS
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DON
0 - 2
POS
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
POS
3 - 0
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
REN
0 - 0
POS
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
POS
3 - 1
MAN
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
SVA
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAN
56%
20%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ICF
4 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |